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Monday, April 20, 2009

China accounted for two apple-speed into a intelligent wireless telephone market

By Zou himfr

Some analysts said that Apple will soon be occupied 20% of the Chinese smartphone market. The author of this unusual speculation surprised. Apple iPhone does have a strong network market in China, even though the market has not led to the introduction of parallel imports on the much popular iPhone rumors were even near 40% of the parallel flow of products into the Chinese market, Chinese users can see the love for the iPhone there is little, and I use the iPhone there are some around the water version of Friends.

However, not to state that Apple has not yet and nationwide introduction of wireless operators to come to affirmation, both China Mobile or China Unicom and Apple still have discussions to come to an affirmation still could be between the two. Even if factual and household apple crop wireless operator to come to an affirmation, to formally go in the Chinese market, it can be rapidly used by 20% of the intelligent wireless telephone market? I still can not acquiesce with this. First of all, we can forecast is that the program is the introduction of iPhone's household wireless operators will aim on what? IPhone 3G is still iPhone1.0 version? If the previous, then the iPhone is now the market is not appealing at the starting was just recorded, there have been at iPhoto 3G type, iPhone1.0 so well liked these days have the number of market opportunities? Estimated that not more than, after all, now has 3G wireless telephone characteristics of other more mighty companies.

If it is not iPhone1.0, but the iPhone 3G version, and even the upcoming Apple iPhone 3.0, then the domestic users of smart mobile applications, where the mainstream? Is 2G or 3G or 2.5G? Obviously not the former, after all, home is just the launch of 3G licenses, and more at the user or stay on the existing network infrastructure, 3G leap is not so easy and direct. Apple iPhone then occupied 20% market share in smart mobile phone is not talking? Want to know more or smart mobile phone users at the time of non-3G. Furthermore, even if true the development of 3G mobile phone fast, the layout of operator also really quickly.

Let us presume that, if iPhone is the introduction of portable entry to to possibility, then the iPhone variety of the introduction of TD will be more a long time? TD to move in the development arranging of the layout and customer prospects of how much? Millions or tens of millions? It is stated that China Mobile said that for three years at the development of TD users to 50 million users. But this year is nothing less than numerous million. The scope of such a tiny, iPhone will account for 20% of China's smartphone share it? Even if TD-take-all of the brainy portable handset market, neither to the two Chinese portable handset into a brainy share, right?

If it is China Unicom, the introduction of the possibility to get iPhone, China Unicom is the number of portable handset users? Just over 100 million, China Mobile has more than 500 million portable handset users, even users of China Unicom, iPhone will only be employed only 20% market share. Of course, the share of the brainy portable handset is in addition a divergence of less than registered, it is clear the two iPhone into share of Chinese portable handset is brainy rhetoric. Or, iPhone in China like to inhabit two out of 100 of the brainy portable handset market is wishful considering, but in addition on the crunchy yield of America analyst to endorse a market it.

As we all recognise, both the in the household portable operator, or Apple, the iPhone to move into the Chinese market has many of looking frontwards to. Apple iPhone can expect to gain more market share, but in addition expect to be competent to get more worldwide portable handset market share. Well, a immense market for Chinese customer foundation and growing market capability has become the crunchy yield can not dismiss the alive of a strong. However, and because Chinese portable operators to converse between the very large crunchy yield lions mouth, do not pay for the first move. China Unicom and Apple like to be competent to arrive at an accord, but China Unicom at the consequence of the in the household market and China Mobile is apparently not comparable to Apple's best move or the object. Thus the formation of a tripartite power strives, a love triangle amid a vicious circle.

In this context, Apple wants to conceive more impetus on the iPhone, encompassing designs to insert the apple crop iPhone3.0. We can glimpse that the investigation of Bank of America analysts furthermore move for Apple and the affirmation come to between the possible. In other phrases, the end of this monster in the introduction of wireless iPhone. Analysts speculated the United States from the "supply string of connections in Asia review displayed that self-assurance apple crop be adept to live at 20% of Chinese wireless telephone market intelligence. According to our review accept as factual that the apple crop be adept to effortlessly come to and even exceed this aim, and that the iPhone sales may be much higher. "

It is clear that there are a lot of wishful thinking. Analysts expected the United States, if the apple in the beginning of this year to 500-600 U.S. dollars at the prices of Chinese sales of iPhone, this year's iPhone sales in China will reach 1.5 million in 2010 to reach 4.6 million, in 2011 will reach 5.8 million Department. First of all, to see the iPhone out 5,6 if the price of 100 U.S. dollars, do not know if users will not accept? The number of operators will be subsidized? Operator is able to bear? Secondly, if in accordance with its analysis of this year reached 1.5 million sales, then by 20%, the Chinese market in 2009 the sales of smart phones many at some 10,000.

According to iSuppli's examination, even though the worldwide portable handset shipments are looked frontwards to to descent 5%, but China's in the household portable handset market will uphold expansion in 2009 is looked frontwards to to get higher 7%. iSuppli predictions in 2009 in the in the household portable handset market will arrive at 240 million. We can observe that even low-end market, have acted a type of brainy handsets, embracing the Chinese market is more admired shack device is brainy, inexpensive as a marketing point. Therefore, even if Apple's iPhone into the Chinese market, as the two like to promptly inhabited by the market share of brainy handsets is even more arduous, if not the operators to launch a type of means of endorsement, and carry on to costs under insist, but if this accurate, iPhone is in addition of high worth will be bankrupt. In augmentation, after Apple started iPhone3.0 absolutely a new variety of the principle force, but the new variety is not be competent to promptly slice into the Chinese market is very arduous to declare, if accurate crunchy yield China can inhabit two out of 100 of smartphone market, portable operators assessed the charge to be paid on the money. - 18780

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